Abstract
We examine whether regulatory barriers segment technologically integrated financial markets using Bitcoin bans across 19 countries (2013–2024). Unlike traditional markets where infrastructure creates natural frictions, Bitcoin operates on a global, permissionless network. Using proper maximum likelihood BEKK-GARCH and CCC-GARCH estimation, we find no significant differences in market integration between liberal and conservative regulatory regimes across four complementary tests. However, country-specific analysis reveals substantial heterogeneity: major markets (China, Russia) achieve partial segmentation while smaller markets show counter-intuitive increases in integration post-ban. Market size and development explain less than 10% of regulatory effectiveness variation. These findings challenge traditional segmentation theory, demonstrating that decentralized technology creates persistent cross-market linkages that transcend regulatory boundaries. The heterogeneous and often counterproductive regulatory outcomes suggest policymakers should prioritize international coordination over unilateral restrictions when addressing digitally native assets.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 102261 |
| Peer-reviewed scientific journal | Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money |
| Volume | 106 |
| ISSN | 1042-4431 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 01.2026 |
| Externally published | Yes |
| MoE publication type | A1 Journal article - refereed |
Keywords
- BEKK-GARCH
- Bitcoin
- Cryptocurrency regulation
- Financial integration
- Market segmentation
- Volatility spillovers